The Polls Keep Coming

What better way to kick off Tuesday’s posts than with the polls. Especially when they’re extremely interesting. The winds of change are blowing up north in Iowa…

As race heats up, Obama takes the lead in Iowa

All the usual caveats apply — it’s just one poll, there are still six weeks until the caucuses, anything can happen, the margin of error is important, and Iowa is a notoriously difficult place to conduct reliable polls, in part because it’s hard to know exactly who is going to caucus. But having said that, there [...]

A Close One Down The Stretch?

It is too far out from the actual primaries for trustworthy polling.  Worse, any tiny little blip or change in the numbers leads to the sort of horse race reportage that newsrooms seem to love…and on which spinmeisters like to pounce. That said, there does seem to be a bunching up across the board in poll numbers in [...]

Congress’ Approval at 20%, Bush at 32%

A new Gallup Poll “finds only one in five Americans approving of the job Congress is doing at this time. The public’s rating of Congress had shown slight improvements in recent months, but the current rating is down again and is among the lowest that [...]

Sinking like a Stone in the Granite State?

Very interesting new poll out of New Hampshire. Rudy’s has fallen to third, a big 17 points behind frontrunner Mitt Romney. And look at McCain. In second with 18%. See the [...]

Is Edwards up or down in Iowa?

The polls show Obama rising, Edwards falling, and Hillary holding steady in what is still essentially a three-way tie for first in the First Caucus State. As Jerome points out, Richardson’s 11 percent will have a big role in the outcome if the numbers remain static for the duration of this race. Their second choice could [...]