The Krile Files

Running the Numbers, 12-11-07

December 11, 2007 · Leave a Comment

Here’s tonight’s collection of polls and explanations of what they mean.

NY Times Poll

The NY Times poll is out: “Three weeks before the Iowa caucuses, Republican voters across the country appear uninspired by their field of presidential candidates, with a vast majority saying they have not made a final decision about whom to [...]

Rasmussen Iowa poll

A new Rasmussen poll in Iowa (Dec. 10, 789 GOP LV)has Huckabee way out ahead of the field. Huckabee [...]

Incumbents Watch Out

“An unusually large number of members of Congress” — 11 Republicans and 5 Democrats — “are being seriously challenged in primaries this election cycle — and their vulnerability could be the latest piece of evidence that this is shaping up to be a perilous political environment for incumbents,” The Politico reports. Key takeaway: [...]

More.  After the jump.

Clinton, Giuliani National Leads Narrow

A new CNN/Opinion Research national survey finds Sen. Hillary Clinton’s lead in the Democratic race shrinking to just ten points. Clinton now leads with [...]

Giuliani Cratering

ABC has a new national poll out, and on the Democratic side it’s a snooze: no one has gained or lost more than three points of support. On the Republican side, however, the news is much more interesting: [...]

Wash Post national poll: Huckabee closing in on Giuliani; Hillary still far ahead in Dem race

But, as Joe always points out, this is a national poll and national polls don’t really matter. Why? Because, traditionally, whoever wins Iowa will get a ten point boost going in to New Hampshire (and whoever loses Iowa will get a ten point hit going into New Hampshire). And whoever wins New Hampshire will get [...]

Categories: 2008 Election
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